Week Five College Football Viewing Menu

With a heavy concentration on the SEC, here is your viewing menu for Week 5

 

Saturday, September 28th  (Printable schedule w/ DirecTV channels)
Oklahoma State at West Virginia 11:00 a.m. ESPN
South Carolina at UCF 11:00 a.m. ABC
South Alabama at Tennessee 11:21 a.m. SEC TV / ESPN-GP / espn3
Florida State at Boston College 2:30 p.m. ABC or ESPN2
LSU at Georgia 2:30 p.m. CBS
Oklahoma at Notre Dame 2:30 p.m. NBC 
Wake Forest at Clemson 2:30 p.m. ESPNU
Ole Miss at Alabama 5:30  p.m. ESPN 
Arizona at Washington 6:00 p.m. FOX
Florida at Kentucky 6:00 p.m. ESPNU
Texas A&M at Arkansas 6:00 p.m. ESPN2
UAB at Vanderbilt 6:30 p.m. FS South
Air Force at Nevada 7:00 p.m. CBSSN
Wisconsin at Ohio State 7:00 p.m. ABC
Stanford at Washington State 9:00 p.m. ESPN 
Southern Miss at Boise State 9:15 p.m. ESPNU 
USC at Arizona State 9:30 p.m. ESPN2
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Grading the Texas A&M W2W4

Those of you who have followed the blog for a while know that I grade myself on the W2W4’s each week.  Unfortunately, it’s taken me quite some time to finally sit down and review the W2W4 from the Texas A&M game but I have to say I was fairly pleased with it.  I think we all were shocked at the amount of yards and points A&M got but we weren’t surprised on how they got them.  As we were leaving to go to the game, Gameday was talking about Mike Evans and I thought, “Damn – I forgot to mention that he’s a match-up nightmare.  Ahh, there’s no time to add that and, honestly, how bad can it be.”  Oops.  Anyway, here are the grades from A&M – not too bad…

Predictions we got right

A&M will score. They will score more than you want them to. Yeah, so we got that one just a little right.
A&M’s defense isn’t anything close to Virginia Tech’s. Any Questions?
Look for the Aggies to crowd the line of scrimmage just as the Hokies did. They did, they just weren’t very successful.
Alabama will crease the A&M blitz and rush for over 200 yards. Bama gained 234 yards rushing.
Yeldon will go for 150 yards. He went for 149 and I’m rounding up.  Heckuva prediction coming off the Va Tech game.
Bama will get several big plays down the field – at least three passes over 20 yards. White, Howard, Bell, Norwood and Cooper all had catches for over 20 yards.
Yeldon and Howard/Vogler will combine for at least six passes. They combined for seven catches for 96 yards.  Howard had 3 for 68 by himself.
Alabama will gain large chunks of yardage on the ground. Yeldon, Fowler and Drake all had runs for over 15 yards.
Alabama will tighten up their blitz pickups and line calls. Yeah, I think they worked a few kinks out.
Alabama should be able to run the ball at will.  The game will be won or lost by the offensive line. No question about it.
Alabama’s defensive line will just be asked to lean on the offensive line and form picket fence. It didn’t work but that’s exactly what they did. 
Alabama will blitz Mosley, Collins and Clinton-Dix They did.  But it didn’t work either.
Alabama wants to force Manziel to throw from the pocket all day long. True dat.  And he did a damn good job of it.
The problem is he can throw from the pocket with a lot of success. Who knew?  We did.
Look for hitch routes, screens and hook routes at or near the line of scrimmage. They did this a good bit.
Alabama will force Manziel into at least one pick, probably two. Alabama forced two interceptions!  Hooray!
We don’t think you’ll see Trey DePriest much We didn’t.
Manziel will eclipse the 253 yards of passing from last year. 4. 6. 4.  Four hundred sixty four.  464 yards passing.  Ouch.
Final Score Alabama 34  Texas A&M 27 Well, we did nail the margin of victory, so there’s that.

Predictions we got wrong

Look for the Tide to establish the running game early. Nope.  Only two of the first 14 plays were runs.
AJ will be sacked 3 times Nope.  Not once.  Pretty amazing job by the offensive line here.
AJ will throw an interception. Nope!  He never even came close to throwing one.
We look for Geno Smith to make a big play this week. Well, he didn’t even get onto the field until the fourth quarter so we missed badly here.
Look for Landon Collins to have his best game this week…he’ll be huge. He was called upon to do everything we said he would be but he didn’t really excel.  He didn’t suck, either, but we are putting this down as a miss.  It’s debatable.
Ryan Anderson will have his coming out party. He played a decent amount which was unusual for him.  But, we knew he’d have to given the pace and the heat.  He played a lot but didn’t really do much.
Alabama will hold Manziel to well under the 92 yards rushing he gained last year. Nope.  In fact, he gained 98 yards this time.  A&M added a little wrinkle which allowed him to get outside of containment numerous times.
With all the time spent on stopping this offense, you have to think the defense will be better this time around. Nope.  We were waaaaaay off on this.  Of course, so was everyone else.
Alabama will make things difficult for Manziel. Not hardly.

Final Tally:  Correct – 19      Incorrect – 9

Three Sheets to the Win Over Ole Miss

Each week, the Lighthouse staff selects three offensive and three defensive players to shine a light on as the keys to victory.  We are calling it “Three Sheets to the Win” because if we are wrong, we’re blaming it on being three sheets to the wind when we picked them.  Make sense?  Also, in sailing terms, sheets are lines.  So, we’ll need these three lines all pulling in the same direction if we want to sail this ship to Pasadena!  This week, we look at three offensive players who will have to have a good game in order to subdue and skin the Black Bear rebellion from Oxford, Mississippi.

Three Sheets to the Win on Offense

Ryan Kelly – Hey Diddle, Diddle, we’ve been soft in the middle and that problem was extremely evident against Colorado State.  When your center is blown up so badly that he’s tripping up your running back four yards deep in the backfield then you’ve got problems.  In the second half against Texas A&M, Kelly and the guards began pulling and they carved a path so that Terrance Cody could have averaged 7 yards a carry.  But, against CSU Kelly didn’t pull one single time.  Not once.  It appears to us that Kelly may be better out in space so we are curious to see how he’ll be used Saturday night.  Either way, he’s got to do a much better job at the point of attack for us to establish any semblance of a running game.

Amari Cooper – Last year against Ole Miss, Cooper had a coming out party that hadn’t been seen up in here since the likes of Julio Jones.  Coop snagged 8 passes including two for  touchdowns and five first downs and was one of the main reasons the Tide ended up winning the game fairly easily.  This season we’ve seen the Mini Cooper instead of the Super Cooper so I’m wondering if it’s time to panic just a little bit.  Cooper has been hampered by a toe/foot injury and he was held out against Colorado State to make sure he’s as close to full speed as possible for Ole Miss.  After a week off, we are expecting big things from Coop and we need to see a little of the burst that made him so good last season.

Cyrus Kouandjio – Cyrus struggled against Virginia Tech and Colorado State so it will be interesting to see how he handles five-star DE Robert Nkemdiche.  Nkemdiche loves to take an inside rush and can be very disruptive with his size and quickness.  Over the years, Kouandjio has had difficulty with the smaller speed rushers who attack from the outside but he usually fares well against the bigger ends.  This will be a fun match-up and Cryus really needs to shine Saturday night against the true freshman.

Three Sheets to the Win on Defense

Deion Belue – Turf toe injuries can be debilitating, especially for a corner, so it will be interesting to see how close to 100% Belue is Saturday night.  Wikipedia tells us that turf toe is an injury to the connective tissue between the foot and one of the toes. When the big toe is involved, it is known as “turf toe” and the only cure is either completely staying off of it for a month or surgery.  Belue has done neither.  Saturday night will be a tough night for him to not be operating at 100% because the Rebels’ receivers are very big and very fast.  Belue will not only be challenged in pass coverage, but he’ll also be trying to disengage from bigger and stronger men in order to make some tackles in the run game.  It could be a long night if he’s not healthy.  But, if he is healthy, he could make a huge difference in our secondary.

Adrian Hubbard/Denzell Devall/Ed Stinson – We list this trio because they will have the daunting task of containing the edges of the Alabama defense.  When Ole Miss is clicking, Jeff Scott is scampering around the ends and getting out into the wide open spaces of the secondary.  This little dude’s got jets so keeping him hemmed in the middle of the field is the key to victory.  Scott burned Vandy and Texas with sweeps that ended up as 70+ yard touchdown runs so Hubbard, Devall and Stinson will have to find a way to not let him outside of containment.

Brandon Ivory/Darren Lake – Honestly, I struggled with this selection.  I mean, you really could focus on anyone in the secondary and you’d have a pretty strong case for a player who will need to have a strong game.  Landon Collins, Vinnie Sunseri and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix will all need to play very well as they will be asked to stuff the running game AND play the deep passes.  We also think Eddie Jackson may be a key player in the game, as well.  But, our mantra this week has been stopping the run so that’s where we turn our focus.  Stop the run and you stop Ole Miss.  It’s just that simple.  In order for CJ Mosley and Trey DePriest to be effective, they are going to need some help from our biggest boys in order to stop the interior running game of the Rebels.  With Ole Miss attacking in so many directions, the linebackers are going to be asked to run laterally to the ball all night long.  However, if Brandon Ivory and Darren Lake are not holding the point in the middle, then that will be one more thing our linebackers will have to worry with and this will limit their ability to be in hot pursuit.  So, our defensive tackles will be required to stay gap sound and make sure that any interior running plays are negated before they can get to the second level.